Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.042292 0.049222 0.056835 0.065808 0.076080 0.087458 0.101003
2025-08-03 0.031979 0.041051 0.051931 0.065887 0.083257 0.104103 0.130950
2025-08-10 0.024330 0.034075 0.046701 0.064140 0.087465 0.117431 0.158666
2025-08-17 0.019112 0.028950 0.042607 0.062743 0.091426 0.130514 0.187444
2025-08-24 0.015749 0.025600 0.040145 0.062869 0.097076 0.146144 0.221196
2025-08-31 0.012804 0.022235 0.036982 0.061288 0.099773 0.157608 0.250065
2025-09-07 0.011399 0.020985 0.036755 0.063988 0.109037 0.179504 0.296489
2025-09-14 0.009783 0.019062 0.035087 0.064027 0.113939 0.195022 0.334496
2025-09-21 0.008208 0.016902 0.032646 0.062332 0.115616 0.205354 0.364996
2025-09-28 0.007065 0.015326 0.030967 0.061665 0.118840 0.218379 0.400996
2025-10-05 0.006613 0.015016 0.031553 0.065162 0.129784 0.245533 0.463548
2025-10-12 0.006099 0.014484 0.031619 0.067640 0.139063 0.270537 0.524486
2025-10-19 0.005232 0.013059 0.029735 0.066120 0.140736 0.282239 0.563129
2025-10-26 0.004571 0.011971 0.028382 0.065487 0.144054 0.297310 0.609463
2025-11-02 0.003896 0.010715 0.026471 0.063401 0.144157 0.306191 0.644817
2025-11-09 0.003360 0.009692 0.024913 0.061846 0.145138 0.316813 0.684440
2025-11-16 0.002999 0.009045 0.024119 0.061883 0.149493 0.334565 0.739782
2025-11-23 0.002595 0.008199 0.022710 0.060281 0.150016 0.344395 0.779731
2025-11-30 0.002456 0.008063 0.023049 0.062917 0.160436 0.376062 0.867977
2025-12-07 0.002209 0.007564 0.022372 0.062944 0.164772 0.394950 0.930539
2025-12-14 0.001922 0.006881 0.021097 0.061270 0.164837 0.404382 0.973309
2025-12-21 0.001710 0.006387 0.020258 0.060611 0.167291 0.419381 1.029625
2025-12-28 0.001661 0.006416 0.020909 0.064051 0.180392 0.459985 1.147016